Dollar and Yields trade to near multi-year highs ahead of U.S. inflation data

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

With an inflation reading above expectations, investors might start pricing for a 75 bp hike in Fed’s rates in the next FOMC meeting and give a further boost to dollar and bond yields, while a lower reading will keep pricing for a 50 bp hike in June and leave the dollar and yields steady at current levels.

Federal Reserve has recently raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 bp, the largest hike in 22 years, with investors expecting another 50 bp at the central bank’s June meeting to fight soaring inflation which climbed to a 40-year high of 8,5% in March.

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

The CPI data will be released later today at 12:30 GMT, with Dow Jones estimating for an 8.1% annual increase compared to the 8.5% rise recorded in March, which will be the first sign that inflation in the United States is peaking.

With an inflation reading above expectations, investors might start pricing for a 75 bp hike in Fed’s rates in the next FOMC meeting and give a further boost to dollar and bond yields, while a lower reading will keep pricing for a 50 bp hike in June and leave the dollar and yields steady at current levels.

Federal Reserve has recently raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 bp, the largest hike in 22 years, with investors expecting another 50 bp at the central bank’s June meeting to fight soaring inflation which climbed to a 40-year high of 8,5% in March.

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

CPI-Consumer Price Index report:

The CPI data will be released later today at 12:30 GMT, with Dow Jones estimating for an 8.1% annual increase compared to the 8.5% rise recorded in March, which will be the first sign that inflation in the United States is peaking.

With an inflation reading above expectations, investors might start pricing for a 75 bp hike in Fed’s rates in the next FOMC meeting and give a further boost to dollar and bond yields, while a lower reading will keep pricing for a 50 bp hike in June and leave the dollar and yields steady at current levels.

Federal Reserve has recently raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 bp, the largest hike in 22 years, with investors expecting another 50 bp at the central bank’s June meeting to fight soaring inflation which climbed to a 40-year high of 8,5% in March.

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

The U.S. dollar trades to multi-year highs against major currencies and the 10-year Treasury yields hover around the 3% key level as investors await the April Consumer Price Index reading -inflation data- that could offer a guide to how aggressively the Federal Reserve will raise rates to combat inflation and its monetary policy path.

CPI-Consumer Price Index report:

The CPI data will be released later today at 12:30 GMT, with Dow Jones estimating for an 8.1% annual increase compared to the 8.5% rise recorded in March, which will be the first sign that inflation in the United States is peaking.

With an inflation reading above expectations, investors might start pricing for a 75 bp hike in Fed’s rates in the next FOMC meeting and give a further boost to dollar and bond yields, while a lower reading will keep pricing for a 50 bp hike in June and leave the dollar and yields steady at current levels.

Federal Reserve has recently raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 bp, the largest hike in 22 years, with investors expecting another 50 bp at the central bank’s June meeting to fight soaring inflation which climbed to a 40-year high of 8,5% in March.

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

The U.S. dollar trades to multi-year highs against major currencies and the 10-year Treasury yields hover around the 3% key level as investors await the April Consumer Price Index reading -inflation data- that could offer a guide to how aggressively the Federal Reserve will raise rates to combat inflation and its monetary policy path.

CPI-Consumer Price Index report:

The CPI data will be released later today at 12:30 GMT, with Dow Jones estimating for an 8.1% annual increase compared to the 8.5% rise recorded in March, which will be the first sign that inflation in the United States is peaking.

With an inflation reading above expectations, investors might start pricing for a 75 bp hike in Fed’s rates in the next FOMC meeting and give a further boost to dollar and bond yields, while a lower reading will keep pricing for a 50 bp hike in June and leave the dollar and yields steady at current levels.

Federal Reserve has recently raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 bp, the largest hike in 22 years, with investors expecting another 50 bp at the central bank’s June meeting to fight soaring inflation which climbed to a 40-year high of 8,5% in March.

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

The U.S. dollar trades to multi-year highs against major currencies and the 10-year Treasury yields hover around the 3% key level as investors await the April Consumer Price Index reading -inflation data- that could offer a guide to how aggressively the Federal Reserve will raise rates to combat inflation and its monetary policy path.

CPI-Consumer Price Index report:

The CPI data will be released later today at 12:30 GMT, with Dow Jones estimating for an 8.1% annual increase compared to the 8.5% rise recorded in March, which will be the first sign that inflation in the United States is peaking.

With an inflation reading above expectations, investors might start pricing for a 75 bp hike in Fed’s rates in the next FOMC meeting and give a further boost to dollar and bond yields, while a lower reading will keep pricing for a 50 bp hike in June and leave the dollar and yields steady at current levels.

Federal Reserve has recently raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 bp, the largest hike in 22 years, with investors expecting another 50 bp at the central bank’s June meeting to fight soaring inflation which climbed to a 40-year high of 8,5% in March.

U.S dollar and Treasury Yields strength:

The DXY-U.S. dollar index which measures the greenback against six major currencies jumped up to 104,50 level on May 09, its highest since December 2022, before stabilizing to around 103,50-104.

DXY-U.S. dollar index, Daily chart

Investors have also jumped into the safety of the greenback in recent weeks following the growing concerns over a slowdown in the global economic growth based on the ongoing tensions in Ukraine, the record high energy and metal prices, and the unprecedented “covid-zero” policy by the Chinese authorities to fight the new outbreak in major economic hubs of Beijing and Shanghai.

As a result, the greenback has gained almost 10% in 2022 so far, pressuring the Japanese Yen below ¥130 key level, the Euro fell to a nearly 2-year low of $1,05, the Pound Sterling briefly dropped below $1,23, the commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars have also plunged to 2-year lows to the dollar, and beating down the risk-sensitive Bitcoin below $30,000.

On the bond front, the 10-y bond yields have been steady at around 3% since Monday, after they hit a 3-year high of 3,17% last Friday on expectations the Fed will aggressively tamp down inflation, which has driven the massive sell-off in risky assets around the world.

The surging dollar pressures NZD/USD pair to a 2-year low

The growth-sensitive New Zealand dollar fell to almost a 2-year low of $0,63 against the U.S dollar on Monday morning following a recent risk aversion sentiment in global markets as the Ukraine war, the soaring inflation, the Covid-led lockdowns in China, and the hawkish central banks are putting the brakes on the global economic growth.

NZD/USD pair, Daily chart

The Kiwi has dropped to its lowest level since June 2020 to greenback as investors rushing away from risky and growth-led assets around the world, while the Covid-led lockdowns in major cities in China as the Shanghai and Beijing are deteriorating New Zealand’s economic and exports growth outlook.

The forex traders that track the antipodean currencies of New Zealand and Australian dollars are concerned about the Chinese economy since the “zero-covid” policy by Chinese administration to curb the outbreak of the virus in the country is taking a toll on economy.

China has been a major trade partner for both countries and any slowdown in Chinese construction and manufacturing sectors could trigger a collapse in demand in the near term for raw materials such as copper, aluminum, iron ore, energies, dairies, and grains.

A stronger dollar weighs on the risky currencies:

The greenback rises across the board and specially to risk or growth sensitive currencies such as New Zealand, and Canadian, and Australian dollars, the Euro, and Pound Sterling, getting support by the U.S. economic outperformance, the risk-off mood due to the Ukrainian war and China’s Covid-led lockdowns, the stock market sell-off, and the rising U.S. bond yields due to the hawkish Federal Reserve.

The DXY-dollar index which measures the greenback against major peers gained for a fifth week in a row last week and touched an almost 20-year high of 104,20 mark, after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked its benchmark funds rate 50 basis points, while investors bets for a 75 basis points rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting in June and more than 200 bps of tightening by year’s end to fight soaring inflation.

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